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4 of these in existance, there's 2 on outpost right now.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12868919 - looking for around 4
Sold for Scorching Capos(~4.6)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12808885 - looking for around 3
Sold for Nuts Cosa + sweets(big outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12775712
Miami Birdcage(~3) sold for Killawatt Softcap, equal value since softcap was offered first
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12689535 - was selling for 3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12702473 - B/O 4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12597993
Sold for Aces High Tower(~4.2)
Price Talk - Suggested Range: 3 - 4 buds
With 2 sold around 3 this is the obvious low end. There were a couple sales above 4, but with multiple people asking for 4 buds thereabouts, it would be too much to go above 4 on the high end.
After looking at the proof, I have no idea what to value this at.... Don't know how 2 sales at 3 can be considered fair but 2 sales at 4-4.5 are not :/