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~273.43 keys
sulphurous
Unusual Surgeon's Stahlhelm Sulphurous
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They told me to come back if I could slim down the range and dig up another spot of proof... So I did!


I own it, but someone has to set the price, eh? I intend to keep the thing so I thought I might as well research it and throw this out there.


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Known trades:


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11088455[/url]

-Stahl for Stormy KE: 5.5 buds, factored with *.9 due to item/unusual overpay it's a value of 4.95 buds.

-Ghost's previous price pitch is here: [url]http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51aa0db7ba2536375a000007[/url], was sunken due to the higher offers received but declined for a sale of lesser value.


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[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11448304[/url]

-Apparently sold for 15 in items ([url]http://i.imgur.com/8yOmoDu.png[/url]). With a *.9 item/unusual overpay it's 13.5.

-Taking as a high outlier since I don't know what items were involved.

-I couldn't get back in contact with him to see what specific items he sold it for, but I can't see a possible exaggeration of 15 being less than 10.


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[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11400131[/url]

-Sold for 15 mix (http://i.imgur.com/Mg230Pw.png)

-His trade history agrees with the unusual payment being a PE Drill. ([url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198066176194,7[/url])

-PE Drill is 4.3 buds, leaving 3.78 after a .9 multiplier, meaning 8+3.78 = 11.78 total.


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[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11609504[/url]

-Evergreen wouldn't tell me what he traded it for, but who he traded it to did [url]http://i.imgur.com/fkaVr7e.png[/url]

-Stahl + Dead Presidents Handyman's Handle + 1 pure for DBD Bubble Pipe.


Times for confirmation:

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198012472225?time=1374130800

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198012472225?time=1374390000


-DBD Bubble is 12.8 buds, which leaves 11.8 buds to the two unpriced unusuals. I'm not sure who offered on who to apply the overpay.

-There are 3/4 DP Handymen on OP, one has a b/o of 2 buds, one has a retracted offer of 1.5, and the other has no interest. Given the hat's average is 1.65, which is in that vicinity, I'll give it the benefit of the doubt at 1.65; leaving 10.15 to the Stahl.


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Sale from the Classifieds to me, so there's no trade link.

-[url]http://i.imgur.com/ElkIaOi.png[/url]

-Stahl for 4 pure. Taking as a "quicksale" outlier due to the above.


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Offers:


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11088455[/url]

-Hearts Bonk Boy (8.9)

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11448304[/url]

-Power Surge Executioner (13.6) if he adds a bit.


[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11609504[/url]

-9 pure

-Power Surge Modest Metal Pile of Scrap, (10.4)


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Conclusion:


I chose 10.15-11.78 as the range range due to the three sales at 10.15, 11.78 and what is a maximum of 15; while keeping in mind the 'new' proof found for this pitch solidifies the higher end of the previous ~5-10 proposed spectrum.


With offers around and at 9 being declined, I wasn't able to cobble together a legitimate reason to use 9 as the low end since it hasn't been an actual sale.


Any help or critique is appreciated, thanks!

    Howd you get proof if outpost is down?

      Maybe he got it when outpost wasn't down? :D

        Its not down anymore ;D