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Proof below. Overpay calculated
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13171061 - 16 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13540044 - 15 keys ( http://backpack.tf/vote/id/520e61c74bd7b80723000003 - From last suggestion, Sir JJ stated it sold for 15)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12216384 - S. Huntsman + 7 keys = 12 keys
Notable Offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13568257 :
Planets Handle (13 keys)
NnB Madame + 4 keys + 4 ref = 15 keys (retracted)
Conclusion
Low-end - Lowest sale, High-end - highest sale. Vote accordingly.