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Disclaimer: I have one of these hats and if you deem my suggestion as biased, feel free to point out any problems with my proof, etc. This is also my 1st time doing a price suggestion. I will not reference my trades as a proof so as to reduce bias.
First of all, the current price is 4 months old and does not reflect the current market situation.
1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13669352
- Buyout set at 2 Buds
- Offered a Honcho's Headgear (Smoking) [1.7-1.9 Buds]
2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12075006
- Buyout set at 2 Buds
- Offered a Killer's Kabuto (Stormy Storm) - [2.2 Buds]
- Offered 31 Keys
- Offered a Your Worst Nightmare (Blizzardy Storm) - [1.6 Buds]
- Offered Full Metal Drill Hat (Smoking) - [No current price, a seller on TF2OP is looking for 2 Buds for this hat]
3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12469856
- Buyout set at 2.2 Buds
- Offered a Killer's Kabuto (Smoking) - [1.8 Buds]
- Offered an Attendant (Bubbling) - [1.5 Buds]
- Offered a Lucky Shot (Steaming) - [1.6 Buds]
4. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13221221
- Buyout set at 1.9 Buds
You need to value unusual overpay on the unusual offers, and B/O's are no proof.
Also, there is no offer for a stormy kabuto on trade #2.
If you include overpay for all of these offers, you'll find that they are perfectly placed in the current pricing range right now. (Multiply the average price by 0.9 or just take the low end of the price).
Plus you have no proof of your two bud high end. Also acting as a counter-proof to your suggestion, your second link has a b/o of 2 buds but he hasn't sold in over TWO MONTHS.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13221221 -B/O of 1.9, 3 weeks unsold.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13333161 -B/O of 1 bud 10 keys (~1.4) also 3 weeks unsold.
Downvoted because of this.
Dude to make a new price for an unusual you can't simply search for offers on other people mostly because they are always too old, wen I had this hat no one was interested on it even by selling below 1.6 so that means the hat does not sell that easy