Needs a little drop.

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Selling/Sold @ 1.66 - 1.88 Refined & Below.

Selling:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13940171 - 1:1 for a Liquidator's Lid (1.33 Refined)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13908262 - 1.44

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13956518 - 1.66 (x4)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13957279 - 1.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13898945 - 1.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13952386 - 1.77

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13945891 - 1.88

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13947757 - 1.88

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13877798 - 1.88

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13431663 - 1.88

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13932616 - 1.88

Sold:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13956228 - 1.44

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13935564 - 1.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13932454 - 1.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13947042 - 1.66

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13955541 - 1.66, seller removed the price.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13954496 - 1.88

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13935145 - 1.88 + a random weapon.

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Unsold @ 2 Refined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13578481 - 2 Weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13930299 - 1:1 with an item worth 2 Refined, 1 Day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13917622 - (x8) 1 Day, didn't sold any of them.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12710258 - 1 Month, last bump was today.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13939979 - still new

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13901489 - 2 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13451356 - Random craft hat + 2 Recliamed, 2 Weeks.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13929283 - 1 Day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13648417 - 1 Week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13913270 - 2 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13821719 - 6 Days, painted brown.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13887649 - 2 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13940458 - still new

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13861219 - 3 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13930556 - 1 Day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13557984 - 2 Weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13871038 - 3 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13857090 - 4 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13894350 - 2 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13878497 - 3 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13826608 - 5 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13926409 - 1 Day

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13670197 - 1 Week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13913173 - 2 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13810313 - 6 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13908493 - 2 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13871979 - 3 Days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13456518 - 2 Weeks

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http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/5200674bba2536525600000d

Ton of unsolds @ 2 Refined.

http://i.imgur.com/L5kFrfe.jpg

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As you can see, 2 Refined is starting to get pretty hard to sell for now, people are starting to sell this for less.