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Proof below. Overpay calculated
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13367896 - Stormy Executioner, other guy added 6 keys + sweets, puts Gatsby at approx = 3.4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12620739 - Stormy Juju + sweets in keys
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050492111?time=1375167600 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050492111?time=1375254000 - Gained 6 keys after the trade, Im guessing these are the sweets, despite history not really matching up. Im guessing this would happen because keys are traded frequently, so they dont have the chance to update :/
So thats roughly = 3.5 buds
Conclusion
'Tis what I found, my brethren. It is my deepest hope this shall suffice and pass, if not, then meh. Vote accordingly.
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! :D
A tid bit high because of unusual inflation from ref change + b/o of 3.5 on the market for 1 month. But these are tough to sell and this is still probably close enough with the real range being ~3.2-3.3.