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outdateddddd.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14000491 derpeh was looking for a bmoc
but he sold it for a blizzardy capotain http://imgur.com/NAuNoCN (21 http://backpack.tf/vote/id/522021c84f96f437518b4569 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13953177 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1882222137,318,5
bought it for a bubbling prancer's (14)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13580074 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1870074421,358,5
sold for a stormy storm dread knot (13)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13397915 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1808265457,322,5
bought it for a circling TF buckaroos (15)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13619508 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1868406239,626,5
sold with a blizzardy swagman for a phosphorous pot. (no price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13571350 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1870694264,661,11
sold with a black all father + fast learner + kringle collection for a SF sticky (~16)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13315200 http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1853994202,615,5
sold for a p. fetti birdcage (18)
other offers:
smoking jeepcap (20)
blizzardy dead cone (17)
that is everything i could find, no offers at all so yeah
range is kinda big, but with multiple low sales, offer of 20 and 21 in unusuals, i don't really know.
any ideas how i can improve this suggestion (especially the range)? Please comment if you do.
i am also a human, so it is possible for me to make mistakes, if any may occur, please mention it in the comments so i can edit it out, or atleast to let others know.
that's a really large range, not much we can do though. upvoted, good proof.
Looks good, range is big but someone can fix that later
Link 1: Blizzardy Storm Carouser's Capotain - 18 * 0.9 = 16
Link 2: bubbling prancer's - 14 * 0.9 = 12
Link 3: stormy storm dread knot - 13 * 0,9 = 11.7
Link 4: circling TF buckaroos - 14.5
Link 5: the hat don't have a price
Link 6: with overpay is less then 14
Link 7: 18 * 0.9 = 16
As you can see you forgot to calculate the overpay. + you don't have proof for the top of the range. I can only see an range of 12 - 16 keys here.
i took the low end of the range, which is also a way of taking overpay.
you took the low end*.9 which is a less used way of calculating overpay.
the ways normally done are either average * .9 or low end.
If the sales really were 13, 14, 15, 16, I don't think I would have had a choice but to accept the wide range.
But your sale for 14 was actually a sale of 15 - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198054727449?time=1377154800 - added ~1 key in paints. Now when you look, you see the sales at 15-21 with one outlier at 13? It does get offered >15 commonly enough that I do think 13 is an outlier.
Like what polar bear said, I think the 13 key trade is an outlier. The rest of the sales are in the 15-18 key range (if you include the sweets added for that 14 key sale). I'm not quite sure about smoking jeepcap offer or the blizz capotain sale, they could be outliers. The price of the p.fetti birdcage is also kind of old, so it maybe different from 18 keys.
bubble prancers sale is invalid since slash owned it BEFORE spicycandy
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13374992 atleast one key was added to the logo buckaroos.
Please, please double check surrounding items. 13 key sale looks like an extreme outlier.