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Heya, this is my first suggestion here for an unusual, which I've had some experience with. This suggestion is basically a resurrection of another one with very good proof that was closed by the creator, so I'll be reusing some of the proof provided by him, along with a bit of my own trade history.
4 of these exist, so here's what little trading has been done with them (and YES, I do own one of these.)
A seller by the name of "Buy Unusuals !!!" sold this particular hat: ( [url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12277228[/url] ) for what seems to be 1 bud plus 9 keys.
Evidence of this can be seen in his backpack prior to the trade: ( [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198043947572?time=1373785200[/url] ) and after he traded it away: ( [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198043947572?time=1374130800[/url] )
His "new items" tab with 19 keys plus the earbud is from more than one trade, as the buyer, ">IPopper<" had a backpack that contained 12 keys and an earbud prior to the trade: ( [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198085718814?time=1373785200[/url] ) and his backpack contained 3 keys and no earbud afterwards when he obtained the hat: ( [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198085718814?time=1373871600[/url] )
SOLD for 1 bud + 9 keys ~ 1.4 buds.
Now, I bought this specific hat from >IPopper< after he got it from the previous owner. He gave it to me after I offered a named Nuts N' Bolts Noble Amassment of Hats plus 12 keys:
His backpack before: [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198085718814?time=1374649200[/url]
His backpack after: [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198085718814?time=1374735600[/url]
Unfortunately, the cache of my backpack seems to be off, as it doesn't show the keys in my inventory that I bought that night to add to my offer. However, you CAN see my Noble unusual in my backpack, and the 12 keys in the seller's backpack along with the Noble unusual that went along with my trade.
My backpack before: [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198054583608?time=1374649200[/url]
My backpack after: [url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198054583608?time=1374735600[/url]
SOLD for Nuts N' Bolts Noble Amassment of Hats plus 12 keys: ~1.9 buds.
This trade was hard to find info on:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11959075[/url]
It seems to have been sold for items, not pure. From what I can tell, the full offer was:
S.F. Stickybomb Launcher (21 keys), S. Grenade Launcher (3 keys), V. Ullapool Caber (1.5 keys), V. Whiskered Gentleman (2 keys), Kringle Collection (1 key), Quadwrangler (1 key), V. Trophy Belt (1 key), and about 4 other items worth 2 ref a piece.
~approximately 32 keys total.
Buyer's backpack before:
[url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198051059704?time=1371452400[/url]
Buyer's backpack after:
[url]http://backpack.tf/id/76561198051059704?time=1372402800[/url]
The seller's trade history seems to be broken, as I can't pinpoint the exact time he sold the unusual or what he did with some of the stranges and items. This trade is questionable.
Best guess: SOLD for 32 keys in items ~1.5 buds
This is my trade:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13539848[/url]
No one has offered to pay my previous B/O of 2 buds or a Max's, and the only offer I have recieved that is worthwhile is a Sulphurous Pencil Pusher, which the previous suggester valued at 1.8 buds due to one of the offerer's trades getting an Eerie Fire Counterfeit Billycock offer for the Pencil Pusher. I cannot confirm the Eerie Billycock offer because it is not listed on any trading sites that I can find.
PRICE TALK: I value this hat at 1.5-1.8 because the current low end market price as far as I can see is about 1.5 according to the trade done in items, and the bud plus 9 keys sale. The high end is obtained by what i had to pay the previous owner of my hat to get him to part with it (~1.9 buds), and the approximate 1.8 bud price of the Pencil Pusher offer on my trade (Implying that the Eerie Billycock offer did, in fact happen on the offerer's trades.)
Lemme know what you think of this suggestion!
A screen shot of your trade history, involving your trade of the Ketche would be much easier instead of having to analyaze the backpack.tf history of the trade.
Anyways you should do this more often, seems accurate and described well.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12141671 - offered 1.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13539848 - smoking chapeau, seller adds some ~1.5 maybe?
Really nice work. I'll just say that an easier way to tell how many keys involved is to check the item id's. So of the 19 keys in the bp on that first trade, 9 have ~same id as the buds. 10 of them were traded earlier. So yeah, it was sold for 1 buds + 9 keys.