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Welp, time to hopefully price this Unusual. Unusual overpay is counted as this website's median price x .9. Prices of items that were on sales long ago are being accounted for as the price they were when the sale happened.
Classifieds:
None in classifieds.
Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14063315 - Offered a Cloud 9 Whoopee Cap (4.7 Buds), while another person offered a Terror-Watt Pencil Pusher (2.7 Buds), but both were rejected.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13396583 - Taking offers. Has a B/O of 10 Buds for it. No offers for it yet.
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11277440 - Sold for an O. Planets Chieftain + V. Lugermorph + Slate Bill's + Black Essential Accessories (22 keys + 7.6 keys + 5.8 keys x .9 = 31.9 keys = 1.5 Buds, which is more then likely an outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/322282 - This user sold it for a P.E. Carouser's Capotain + TS Bill's + a S. Ambassador w/ Headshot Kills (2.25 Buds (50.6 keys) + 8.5 keys + 3 keys x .9 = 55.9 keys = 2.6 Buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11466622 - Sold for a Memory Leak Coupe D'isaster (no price set)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11980835 - More then likely sold for a G. Robo Sandvich (4.3 Buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13935967 - Sold for Terror-Watt Hustler's Hallmark (no price set)
Conclusion: This hat is hard as hell to price, since no sales occured through pure (currency) trades. I'm setting the low end to 4.3 for the highest sale and the high end to 4.7 for the highest offer. Please provide counterproof if you find any. Thanks for your consideration.
Told ya that whoopee price was off. Good work though, upvote.
From the ones that were sold the first link was from a new trader who most likely didnt know prices. I'm not sure about that second link you posted, dont see the dragonborn in the history of that guys trades. The third link was actually for the coupe and a hearts private eye and a bud at least from what i can tell from the history. The fourth link was for the robo sandvich and a bud at least, again from the history if you scroll up on his past trades since he sold the dragonborn he has a bud from the history of the person he sold the dragonborn to. It has also been sold for a disco grenadier hat and maybe more, im not sure. So I think you might have to recalculate, and its possible more was involved in the trades then we are aware of.
On the 2nd link, the owner never posted a trade selling it (oddly enough), and the histories show that he sold it for that + a bunch of other items.