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It's a 1 of 1 god tier hat, what else is there to know? Overpay is calculated in all instances.
Has one recent sale, and another 2 month old sale. All other sales are too old and fall under the old suggestion.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12019971 (recent trade)
Sold for Harvest Reggae(~18.7) + Nuts Brainiac(~4.4) + Power Surge Broadband Bonnet(~3.1) + Smoking Gatsby(~16 keys) + Steaming Merry(~1) + Planets Plumbers Pipe(~16 keys) + Vivid Safensound(~2.4) + S. Gunslinger(~24 keys) = ~32.2 buds
Proof: http://backpack.tf/id/76561197996374308?time=1376290800 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561197996374308?time=1376463600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11634039 (older trade)
Sold for duped Moon Modest(~26.3) + Bubbles Cannonball(~1.5) + Planets AA(~1.2) + Bliz Reggae(~1.3) = ~30.3 buds
BP After sale: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198050247262?time=1370847600
Despite the moon modest being duped, he sold it for a Scorching SnS, 13th Brainiac, Secret Fruit Shoot, P. Fetti Outdoorsman, and Hearts Bonk Boy, altogether ~26.6 after overpay. Therefore, the normal price is fine for this.
I think it is worthwhile to note that I refused to 39 in unusual
That offer that you claim is 39 rejected is not. You were offered a clean Secret Exe(~47.8) for the Secret, Sulph(~10.9), and Phosphorus Brainiacs(~8.7).
47.8 - 10.9 - 8.7 = ~28.2 So no, not really even close to 39.
this offer was made before the fall of rates
The change I made was based on sales that happened within the last month or so. You got that offer a few weeks ago. It doesn't matter when the price changed on bp.tf (it has been due for an update for a long time before I updated it).
That reggae is duped as well XD and is probably closer to ~17. But on this high end stuff, you are close enough.