Yeah, 80 is not happening on this. So...if you could update the price, that would be greeeat.

Note that the last suggestion was originally submitted at 60-75.

Updating a 3 month old price. There are 4 of these in existence, 2 are on outpost. Only one of them is clean. If you have any allergies or sudden illnesses related to giant walls of text, this is not a good place to be.

Duped Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12282708

Sold for 2 Vintage Earbuds(~12 each) + a huge collection of 30 painted business casuals(da fuck?) (estimated the whole collection at ~15.5 keys) + Knifestorm Brain Bucket(~2.5) + TS Bills(~7 keys) + 1 key + 2 refined + 1 scrap = ~27.6 - very low for this hat even duped

Proof of this crazy sale: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198045117581?time=1373180400 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198045117581?time=1373266800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11937883

-offered Moon Cannonball(~31.7) and Moon Modest(~26.3) = ~58

Sold for duped Secret Executioner(~38.7) + Ghosts Bubble Pipe(~5.3) + Lantern Bubble Pipe(~8.5) = ~52.5 buds

Proof: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198027578708?time=1372575600 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198027578708?time=1372748400

He sold the duped Secret Exe for a duped Moon Buto(~20) + Harvest Reggae(~18.7) = ~38.7. Ultimately, he got ~52.5 out of the crones after selling the executioner, which is why I used his own sale of the executioner.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11937883

Sold for duped Secret Team Captain - not sure what to price it at, but it's ~63 with overpay normally, and this one was duped, so it is probably worth a bit lower.

Proof: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198016078903?time=1371711600 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198016078903?time=1371798000

He seems to have sold the duped Secret TC for Disco + Cloud 9 + Miami Barnstormers + Terror watt Bonk Boy + Terror Stahl + 13th Spartan, almost all unpriced, darn.

Clean Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13573732

First off, looks like he bought the dome for a Burning Bomber(~41) - probably outlier, dupes sold for more

Proof: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13573732 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198028289883?time=1376204400

Sold for duped Moon Slug + Moon AA + Secret VRH + (duped?) Moon YWN + duped as hell Secret Bomber

Proof: http://backpack.tf/id/76561198028289883?time=1376204400 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198028289883?time=1376290800

Well, I hate when people buy things for moon/secret/halloween in general hats, so as punishment each one gets its own subsection explaining what its value is.

Moon AA = = ~8

Not too outdated for my tastes. Note that this is the originally suggested price, not the refined-boosted current listing.

Secret VRH = ~8

Super outdated current price, outpost B/Os of 9.5 and 9. The same one recently sold with a Misty Kabuto(~13.3) for a Harvest Brainiac(~19.8) + Ghosts Buckaroos(~1.4), making the VRH worth ~8 buds(it had a B/O of 8 buds)

Duped Secret Bomber = = ~25

See last suggestion on it: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51c36c34ba2536a91d000006

(duped?) Moon YWN = ~9

Very outdated price, same one sold recently for Harvest Hound Dog(~6.5) + Stormy Hot Dogger(~1.1) + Smoking Tyro(~1.4) = ~9 buds, the B/O was 11

Duped Moon Slug = ~8

More than a year old price, 3 exist, only the 2 dupes on the market right now, one has a B/O of 10 buds. Hellgasms sold the duped slug for a Moon Yellowbelt(~9.3, also very outdated), buyouts on outpost for this one range from 8-10, so that is probably a better range based on the buyouts. All in all...the slug is probably 8-9 buds or thereabouts.

Total Sale of the clean Secret Crones: 8 + 8 + 25 + 9 + 8 = ~58 buds

The only other recent sale seems to have been sold to a scammer(nice job there) for a bunch of unpriced hats that I don't care to price, and it would probably be a waste of time (scammers can overpay because they scam)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6148627

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13602521 - Current owner of the clean one on outpost, B/O 85, best offers (that I can see) of:

-Roboactive Executioner(~30) + Miami Executioner(~17.8) + N&B Barnstormer(~2.1) + 18 keys = ~50.8 buds

-Disco brotherhood + antifreeze brigade + sulph berliners + $100 + 16 keys + sweets(probably around ~50 or a bit above)

-claims to have a tenative 70 pure offer, but I did not see proof of it anywhere

So that's all I got.

Price Summary - Suggested Price: 58 buds

There have been 2 recent sales on the clean Secret Crones, one of which was very low, lower than the dupe sales even. However, the dupe somehow seems to be able to reach the same level as the clean one(duped Secret TC sale), but not always. I was going to make the range 52.5 - 58, until I realized one was duped, so I only have the one clean sale to go off of as well as one of the duped sales which is around that.

If you have counterproof or other recent sales that I somehow missed, or anything else that might be worthwhile, feel free to post. Criticism is appreciated as long as it is constructive and well thought out.