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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13235769 - offered 1 bud (22 keys 1 month ago)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14139136 - owner has accepted an offer of 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13819412 - buyout of 21 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13641495 - sold for a bud (21.5 - 22 keys at the time)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13977147 - c/o of 20 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12243184 - sold for 24 keys
20 Keys is in the current price range. If you wanted to make it more accurate you should of changed it from 18-24 Keys to 19-22 Keys.
Downvote from me.
Did you check backpack history from the people who sold theirs a month ago to see if they did infact pay the buyout on said trade? Like... http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13641495 and http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12243184 which shows the item's history go from Snow (The trade owner) to a guy named Teeird | www.tf2confidential.com not Princess Autobalance (the guy who offered 24 keys) which means, he might have changed his mind... or never had the 24 keys in the first place.
Where in the world does 19 keys come from?
Since people are offering 20 keys, and not 18 keys, the change makes perfect sense to me.
Although, you are right about the last trade. 24 keys is very lonely in this range.
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198060059357?time=1373353200 - nuts fez in Princess Autobalance's inventory on the day the 24 key offer was made. Outpost history doesn't show everything.
http://backpack.tf/item/1129912639 - from the history it looks like it was then sold to Tf2Shop .
That particular Fez came from a different person:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11609786
You could try asking Teeird his role in these Fez trades.
Strange, as their 18 key offer is older than their 24 key offer. :/
Yes... it seems the Fez "Princess Autobalance" bought, was not the same Fez "Snow" Sold.