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Hello !!
I think that hat is worth 10-11 buds because....
( http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/26970 ) that guy sold his Phosporous Modest for a Houwar, if you check last trades and his trade history you will see.
( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13394082 ) that guy on the chat says that want 10 buds....
( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14243145 ) this guy sold for a duped houwar ( 10 buds )
( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13107920 ) that was from my trade, i sold for a Houwar + some sweets arround 5 keys
What I don't get is why you would take a houwar instead of a sparkling lugermorph. And the 3rd link sold for a duped houwar + summer shades + bills for the modest + steaming yellow belt.
the sparking luger was duped and that is 10-11 buds.....and i prefer to have a houwar......but you can't look for past offers...you have to see recente offers....and if you check they want 10 buds....and his offers are arround this price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13394082 - willing to take 10
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14243145 - b/o of 10