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This is my 1st unusual suggestion after reading the guide on making good suggestions, so it would help tons if you could tell me if I did anything wrong.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14173097 Ugh so much research was done. Steps to find items payed:
1. Click on the unusual to see current holder.
2. See that it is currently BLIss<3.
3. Go onto ZeTab's other trades and see the history of the Max's Severed Head.
4. See that it was once BLIss<3's.
NOTE: This was 2 days ago so I know for certain that ZeTab did not add any keys extra. Also BLiss<3 doesn't have any keys.
So all up it was:
2.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14147841
ϟ TGE ϟ Juel Buttowski offered his Orbiting Fire Napper's Respite. Sold, check item history and ϟ TGE ϟ Juel Buttowski now owns it.
Unusual Overpay calculated (median multiplied by 0.9 right?)
1.6 buds
http://imgur.com/8Aa9rfM From the above link. Apparently sold theirs for 1.8 buds.
http://imgur.com/shRLxPf Also this from above. Stormy Storm Tyrannus = 2 buds (offer after sold)
Middle range * 0.9 = overpay price
Or
Just use the low end range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13750493 - added memory leak sack for a vivid noble (sack is unpriced)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13882129 - the one that sold for 1.8 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13164601 - 1.8 - stormy attendant
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13020904 - 1.7 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14173097 - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198048358117?time=1378710000
This is your sale 1:1 with the max. And it does indeed seem to be 1:1. But it just looks like an outlier. His b/o was 1.8 and he was paid a max? Also, the guy who bought it from him had a b/o of 2 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14326137
Doesn't look like the guy knew what he was doing. I think the range on this should be 1.6-1.8 given the other sales and multiple b/o's at 1.8-2.
I agree. If there is a b/o and someone offers more than it for no reason like that than it is an outlier.