Price Suggestion
~365 keys
dbd
Unusual Soldered Sensei Disco Beat Down
62 votes up
7 votes down
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I am so sorry for screwing up. Forgot to put 4 buds as the high-end. Previous suggestion here: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/522ecf17ba2536350b8b4581

(I was complimented by Hugh Jazz Mann!!!)

Hi! This is my first suggestion so please don't be too harsh. I am extremely sorry if I failed my task. D':

I'm gonna dance my way to upvotes with this suggestion. :D


Current Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14152458 - Painted Mann Co. Orange - B/O of 5 buds. Unsold for 6 days.

No offers here.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12342193 - B/O of 5 buds. Unsold for 2 months.

Notable offers:

(2 month old offer) Phosphorous Grimm Hat (4.3 - 4.9 buds) + Stormy Storm Hotrod (1.2 - 1.4 buds) = 5.5 buds in unusuals.

(2 month old offer) 5 buds.

(2 month old offer) 4 buds.

(2 month old offer) $150 - legit or not?

(1 month old offer) Time Warp Soldered Sensei (3.2 buds) = 2.88 buds in unusuals.

(1 month old offer) Massed Flies Tyrolean (2.2 - 2.5 buds) = 2.2 buds in unusuals.

Recent offers:

(1 day ago) Orbiting Fire Gentleman's Ushanka (19 - 21 keys) = 19 keys in unusuals.

(3 days ago) Dead President Gentleman's Ushanka (13-17 keys) = 13 keys in unusuals.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13942731 - B/O of 4 buds

Notable offers:

(1 week old offer) Miami Nights Broadband Bonnet (6.7 buds). Quickly retracted within a day this offer is not fully legitimate.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13992936 - Buying quicksells

Has not bought with unusual yet.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13750184 - B/O of 4.25 buds

Notable offers:

(6 days ago) A set worth 3.2 buds (B/O of 4 buds in items, 3.2 in buds) but has an offer worth [b]3.7 buds.

(1 day ago) Blizzardy Storm Samur-Eye (1.7 - 1.8 buds) + Strange Festive Bat (19 keys) = 2.7 buds in items after overpay calculated.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13512177 - B/O of 4.5 buds

Notable offers:

(4 weeks old offer) Blizzardy Storm Bubble Pipe (2-2.3 buds) + Strange Huntsman (6 keys*) + 2 Strange Festive Buff Banners (5 keys ea.*) + Headshot Kills (2.3 keys*) = 3.05 buds in items.

*Rough estimate of the price 4 weeks ago.

(3 weeks old offer) Aces High One Man Army (2.5 - 2.8 buds) = 2.5 buds in unusuals.

(1 week old offer) Level 100 Overclocked Noble Nickel Ammassment of Hats (2.2 buds) = 2.5 buds in unusuals (Has an offer of 2.3 buds but it is low...).


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14123184 - Upgrading

Has not upgraded yet.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14214098 - B/O of 5 buds

Notable offers:

Genuine Robot Sandvich - 4 buds

Cloud 9 Robo Glove (3.5 - 3.9 buds) - 3.5 buds in unusuals

Knife Storm The Big Elfin Deal (3.1 - 3.4 buds) = 3.1 buds in unusuals


And all the solds I could find:

(Sold 6 days ago, sold in less than a day)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14151940 - Sold for 3 buds. (Obvious quicksell.)

(Sold a week ago, sold in a week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13880785 - Sold to Thailand for 3.5 buds (overpay calculated).

(Sold a week ago, sold in 2 weeks)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13642508 - Sold for 3.75 buds

(Sold a week ago, sold in a week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13939486 - Sold for 4 buds?

(Sold to months ago, sold in less that a month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12364440 - C/O of 4 buds, B/O of 6-7 buds. Sold for ??? buds.

(Sold a week ago, sold in a week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13823305 - B/O of 4 buds. Sold for ??? buds.

(Sold 2 weeks ago, sold in a week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13735712 - B/O of 4 buds. Sold for ??? buds.

(Sold 2 weeks ago, sold in less than a week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13800965 - Sold for 4 buds.

(Sold 3 weeks ago, sold in less than a week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13673622 - Sold for 4 buds.

(Sold 3 weeks ago, sold in less than a week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13512898 - Sold for 4.66 buds.

(Sold a week ago, sold in less than week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14139811 - B/O of 5 buds. Sold for ??? buds.

(Sold a month ago, sold in less than a month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13312044 - B/O of 5.5 buds. Sold for ??? buds.

(Sold a month ago, sold in less than a month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13372882 - B/O of 6 buds. Sold for ??? buds.

(Sold a month ago, sold in less than a month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13460427 - Sold for 6 buds? (Obvious outlier.)

(Sold a month ago, sold in less than a month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13399572 - Sold for 6.5 buds in items. (Obvious outlier.)

(Sold a month ago, sold in less than a month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13256893 - B/O of 7 buds.


If you notice, most sales go for 4 buds. If you notice, months ago, the B/O were high (up to 7 buds) and probably sold for that much. Now it goes for around 4 buds.


My reason for range:

3.7: Because of the 3.7 offer in the last current sales link and the 3.75 sold that I have provided. Also, the offer of a set which has received a 3.7 bud offer.

4 buds: Is evident throughout my proof and if you think I provided my own counterproof, sales below this range is what I consider a quicksell and that this unusual has decreased in popularity over time so above 4 buds is no longer possible now.


If you have any constructive criticism, it is welcome and any tips would be nice as after all, this is my first time suggesting a price.


Note: This suggestion is in no way biased as my backpack is no where near enough to buy this awesome unusual. xD

    excellent proof, almost too much.

      Thanks. There's never too much proof. ^^

        Well, there's a lot that is unnecessary actually

          It's to show that people have lost interest of this unusual over time thus for the price to be slightly below 4 buds.

            you cant blame them thats the worst hat i have ever seen.

            fetching 4 buds i am surprised

    yea there you go this is a good price range :)

      Yeah, I was meant to do this range. Don't know what happened. xD

        happens all the time :P

      I took one look at the setting out and just though "beautiful."

      Haha, that aside though, it's not just wuantity it's also quality. Great job, have this upvote, hope to see more :P keep it up man

      Very impressive work. One thing I'll just point out is that even if someone lists "quickselling for 4" and closed their trade, it doesn't mean they sold for 4. I would just list it as you did the other ones with B/O: 4


      Lots of B/O's at 4, but at least a few of them were met and one even went for 4.6 pure - outlier.


      And that sale you have at 3.7 was really 3.5 - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198082893455?time=1378364400


      Aces Mancer + S GL + Bills + small stuff would really be ~3.5. (take either low end of the range or middle * 0.9). So ideally a range of 3.5-4 might be best. But 3.7-4 is close enough.


      Nice job!