Suggestion: Strange Bacon Grease at 10–11 keys

Price Suggestion

~119.5 keys

229 votes up

179 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 12 Sep 13 23:46:49 +0000 by neverclever.

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Comments

As of posting this, ONLY 654 BACON GREASES LEFT and at this current time, there are only 617 H.O.U.W.A.Rs left. Now to some actual proof.

Only 1 person on backpack.tf is selling this for 10 keys and it's a pretty new post, rest are selling at 12 keys.

ONLY 1 PAGE ON OUTPOST AS OF TIME POSTING THIS

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13972450 (1 Person offered a crate 50 + 40, 2 people offered 2 crate 50's, both offers rejected currently)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14331378 (Rejected a Pomson Strangifier)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14135686 (Current offer for Bacon Grease is 11 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13991596 (Current offer is 10 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14060663 (Rejected a Strange Festive Grenade Launcher)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14199092 (Rejected 10.5 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14095265 (10 keys current offer)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14338802 (Rejected 5 keys + Festive Scatter + Festive Rocket)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14247302 (Rejected 10.5 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14237131 (Rejecected 10.5 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14283734 (Rejected 9 keys)

Almost impossible to find sellers for 8 keys. I will try put some more proof up later on.

This is my 2nd Suggestion, so don't be harsh and I know I own one, but it was a gift from a friend.

it is impossible.to buy lower,upvote

i only managed to by 2 at 9 keys

less than 20 on outpost around 8 in steam market starting at 20 euro 13 keys the cheapest

this strangifiers will reach 2 buds in 1 month we will see daily updates every second day

and still some ppl stack keys on buds..

whatever you pay for the grease the price will not stop to rise

strange pan is the most wanted melee of all times.

ppl will kill to buy it at 2 buds again as they did the day 1 when salvaged #50 was introduced.

in topic i bought 2 today both for 9 keys but thats all i managed to buy

was aiming at 10-15 bacons at 9 keys each but it seems i cant buy more at 9 at this moment.i am giving your suggestion 2 days to be up to date.2 days top.

i would close this and resuggest in 2 days.

If that were true, we are looking at a bacon grease bubble, same as the BMOC just not as bad.

http://bazaar.tf/trade/376211 (Not in backpack anymore, offers at 7-8 keys, but he does have a strange pan)

Also when the pan was 8 keys, bacon grease was 8-10 keys, Strange Pans are now 9 keys, so I am sort of staying on the pattern :P

There's probably quite a few more crate #50s left. Big jump, good proof so far, but waiting until you add more!

Less than 9,500 as of now, costs a key to unbox, around about 1/5 chance of unboxing it (%19.80 according to wiki). So roughly 1900 Bacon Greases that could be unboxed and probably half of the people with use it on their pan leaving us with around 950 possible more Bacon Greases before the crate goes "extinct".

http://bazaar.tf/trade/347718 (Rejected 8 keys for Bacon Grease)

Only 1 page on bazaar.tf

Steam Market roughly selling for around $28+ which is about 14 keys

There are fees. Cheapest here is €20.82

0.85 * 20.82 = 17.7

17.7 / 1.7 (current key price market) = 10.5 key

fees are for the seller to worry about you are pricechecking what buyers pay so we dont really care what sellers in steam market have to pay but what it cost to us to buy the item...

Wrong, things on the market are listed higher than normal because of fees. If I paid 20 dollars on the market for something worth 15 dollars, does that mean I think its worth 20 dollars? No, I paid fees which made the price increase.

No it's listed because money on steam is valued as less as on paypal , as funny as that sounds - By selling things on Steam you're only limited to buying and selling on Steam.

I know that, both are a factor. However some people prefer their money on steam to buy games and such, while fees are an absolute no matter what.

True, It's quite hard to find it for 8-9 keys...

Hmm... seems to be it is impossible to find for the old price. Staying neutral.

Try showing that 8-9 keys is quicksell and show more 11 keys.

No 11 key offers...

But there are rejected 10.5 key offers.

"As of posting this, ONLY 654 BACON GREASES LEFT and at this current time, there are only 617 H.O.U.W.A.Rs left."

Ehm... There are 6100 strange pan. And we can unbox 9461 more Bacon.

10000 > 617

That only proves my point more, Bacon Grease is now rarer than Strange Pans and the chances of us finding that 9461 bacon greases and forever keeping them, is next to nothing.

And not all people will unbox their crate, think about it.

Ah, good to know lolz... You didn't understand why did I say this, right?

Side note: I'm pretty sure that stats.tf is wrong with it's estimate of 9461. I've been watching that stat since #50 got discontinued and it's number has not changed. Which suggests that either not a single #50 have been unboxed in weeks(VERY unlikely), or that stats.tf is running behind by a few weeks. From what I've seen, I believe the latter. A great example of how stats,tf runs behind is that it took WEEKS for it to recognize unusuals I've unboxed. I unboxed a gbh BoA almost 2 weeks ago and it still doesn't know it exists. It took almost 4 weeks for it to recognize my Flies Antlers I unboxed too. I'd have to say take stats.tf with a grain of salt until something has been going on for at least a month. I bet there are actually 1000 less #50's than what it lists right now. Which we will be able to confirm in a couple weeks when stats.tf catches up to when this crate got discontinued. Anyways, just thought I'd point that out. Have a great day!! :)

stats.tf is always behind; it cannot track things in private backpacks and scanning all public inventories takes time

you are comparing bacon to houwar?

:facepalm:

Don't compare bacon to anything, it is the meat of the gods

no sales at 11?

As others have pointed out, you only have one offer of 11 keys and no sales. I think you should close this and resubmit it as 10--10.5

Ive gotten 2 over the past 4 days, one for 7 keys and one for 8 with a guy selling me another for 8 today. Most trades I see are offered 10 tops, havent seen really any 11 offers, price is still in the proper range if you ask me, so downvote.

damn, i knew this would rise eventually! i had sold mine late last night for 10 keys ( [url]http://gyazo.com/3bb61ac17b25cd954abc3ef8ca3a7e02[/url] )

took about 3 days for someone to offer that though. so im unsure on this vote at the current time.

I wouldnt say its rising, no one is offering for more than 10 keys. I see a 10 key and an 11 key buyout thats been up with no buys yet. Its still right in range, just 8 doesnt exist its more 9-10, at least on outpost.

ya, that does make sense, ive seen those trades you mention when ive went looking around. although ive seen one or two offers of 11 keys. but other than that most are 10 or lower.

You can't compare this to rare items like houwar, robo sandviches, etc. This item is only for make you pan strange, no for wear it as hat or as a weapon.

And yes, I know people that collect rare no wearable items like this, but I'm really sure that they already have one bacon for their collection since the start of crate 50 and they don't need more. But anyways, this is not an excuse for hide the offers of some traders, that they don't seem collectors, only traders that want re-sell it for make profit, but still the real price of the market right now, so I don't have a reason for downvote this.

Must... trust... cleverpun... staying neutral for now

Just bought another for 9 keys flat. Still see an 11 flat B/O up and hanging in Outpost

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14199092

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14283734

Both unsold for 11, fairly old. Latter is unbumped, but there's less than a page on outpost so that really doesn't matter.

Looks like 11 doesn't deserve to be in the range yet, although this is going up