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8 months :o
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13819738
Sold for S.F Sticky with some S. Parts ~ 1.1 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10076505
Sold for 1 bud + 5 keys and S.Widowmaker ~ 1.3 buds
I calc buds as 22 keys because it was 4 months ago.
The second post was pretty old, do you have more recent offers like the one above?
The guy who bought for the sticky had a b/o of 1. And the sticky with parts requires overpay ~1 buds.
The sale 4 months ago is too old to use. I would absolutely not use sales >3 months on any suggestion. And >2 months on suggestions that have multiple sales. A 1 buds flat price might be reasonable. Or just wait until the two on the market get more offers. Your range may be accurate as fast as that one sold. I would wait.