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I just sold this hat. I messed up the currency on the last suggestion. My fault. I also added some more proof. Offers are calculated with average of ranges with overpay percentage included.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uT352hdOkz4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14420177 - My trade was able to sell for 1.3 pure in less than 9 hours.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14340998 - Previous trade of mine.
Notable offers:
White Smoking Napper's Repite = ~1.2 buds
Blizzardy Waxy Wayfinder = ~1.2 - 1.3 buds
Planets Brigade = ~1.1 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12103099 - Also has a second trade.
Notable offers within a month:
Planets Private Eye = ~1.17 buds
26 keys = ~1.25 buds (declined)
White Smoking Napper's Respite = ~1.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14359299 - Just sold the set for a Vivid Plasma Honcho's to http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14432816
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14195856 - Poorly bumped.
Notable offers:
NnB Tosslecap = ~1.4 buds (2slow4him)
NnB Noble Amassment = ~1.35 buds (still2slow)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14194430 -
Notable offers:
Sulphurous Mongolian = Unpriced
Blizzardy Storm Cyborg Stunt Helmet = Unpriced
White Smoking Nappers = ~1.2 buds
I you can see, 1.3 buds is easy to sell for and 1.4 is possible based on the offers.
Instead of offers, could you base it on sales for the high-end instead?
NNB tossle is 1.2 after overpay - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/51c08575ba2536fd5900001d - original suggestion for it
NNB noble is 1.25 after overpay - http://backpack.tf/vote/id/522af3ca4f96f4a21b8b4568 - original suggestion for it
Current range seems fine. The values listed on this site are artificially elevated due to currency changes in ref and buds.