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Proof below. Overpay calculated
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14122269 - S. Action + 5 keys = 12 keys
Using price ~1 week ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14037453 - Orb Fire Bucket, other guy added 4 keys = 13 keys
Side note: Taking mid-price since it was offered on
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13923919 - NnB Authority + 2 keys (I think) = 16 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13292480 - NnB Tricorne + 1 key = 13 keys
Conclusion
Equal to NnB? Meh.
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7118097 - offered 18 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14102041 - sold for 17? - planets tam
Tricorne sold for its first offer as did the disc action. Look a lot like quicksells.
Range recommended?
It's tricky. 3 sales at 12-13 is hard to argue against, but none them are as patient as the guy who has had his on the market for 8 months. And trades like those get offered outlier values too. Hmm. Maybe 13-17? Get rid of one outlier on either end?
Alright, 13-17 it is.