Suggestion: Mann Co. Supply Crate #21 at 2.33–2.66 ref

Price Suggestion

~1.2 keys

#21

712 votes up

561 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Fri, 20 Sep 13 04:26:58 +0000 by An Average NTR Enjoyer.

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Comments

Best crate ever , 22.25% profit chance + old crate!

---------------------------------SELLERS---------------------------------------

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14030195 - (Selling for 2.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14260097 - (Selling for 2.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8738385 - (Selling for 2.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13525021 - (Selling for 2.33 in stock 1 SOLD 37)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13032775 - (Selling for 2.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14268729 - (Selling for 2.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/5043541 - (Sold 10 for 2.66)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10879562 - (Selling for 5 ref ^_^)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14253580 - (Selling for 3 ref)

--------------------------------BUYERS------------------------------------

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14445651 (Buying for 2.66-3 ref)

Thank you if you voted for this price!

Selling =/= Sold.

Only few Links actually support your Range.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14445651 (Buying for 2.66-3 ref)!!!

Totally misleading. Hes trading his silver botkiller scatter, not pure.

Yeah, you just countered yourself.

You show 1 Link that supports that Range?

Shame on you.

It is NOT a 46% profit chance. You forgot to take into account the key tat must be used to open it. It is ACTUALLY a 22.25% chance, (approx) (http://wiki.teamfortress.com/wiki/Mann_Co._Supply_Crate#21) given that the only profitable items is the strange shotgun.

Minigun too. Also, you are opening the crate in the hopes of getting an unusual, not for profit. 21 ensures you a good chance of getting your key back, at least when compared to other crates.

I apologize. didn't see that. Thanks!

minigun doesn't yield profit anyomre (at least for the time being) as it went down to 1.2 keys (roughly key + ref), and given that the amount spend into opening the crate is key + 2.33 at least, ther will be a loss anyway (and if it were a shotgun the max. profit would be 0.66 ref, as it's max end is 1.5 keys)

L1 - Has some added comments, unknown if sold any

L2 - Sold 2 for 2.66

L3 - Unknown if sold any recently

L4 - Claims to have 1 and that he sold 39 for 2.33, if it's true it does sell fast

L5 - Has some old and recent adds, unknown if sold any recently

L6 - Claims to have #19 sold but probably didn't sell #21 cause nothing's mentioned

L7 - Claims he sold 10 (trade is 11 months old though...) I can see 1 recent add, unknown if he sold any recently

L8 - Selling as a set, irrelevant

L9 - Didn't sell

L10 - Failed at buying for a 2.66 - 3 item, which is easy 2.66 since it went up 6 days ago, proving it's very possible to get 2.66 - 3

Some of the links aren't good and some remain unknown

Some did sell for 2.66 and someone was trying to buy with an item worth 2.66 - 3

I'm going to stay neutral

L7 is me. Last time I sold one was months ago for 2.66. I don't really sell many of them because I don't have stock on those but I do get adds asking for them. My thread is old because I been selling crates for all most 1 year.

All I said about your trade is that it's unknown to know when and how many you sold RECENTLY, because there are no "added" comments so I have no clue who added you

I never said you didn't sell I just said it's unknown

Most recently was about 2 months ago and 60% of my customers don't post because I just have them added on my friends lists. I will stay neutral because there is not much proof.

Eh... Available on the market:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14479938 - 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14476345 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14457899 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14075192 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14351944 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14434933 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13955407 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14476345 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14457899 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14155466 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12989256 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14430104 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14446116 - 2.44

Other solds:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12709250 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13525021 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13878233 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12173013 - 2.33

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10494970 - 2.44

It does seem like 2.66 happens... but 2.33 seems to be the most commonly traded price. Again, there will always be traders trading at above and below bp.tf price. We just give a suggested price based on what items are most commonly traded at.

he put 2.33 in range

I am aware. But if the majority of these are selling at 2.33, then it should just be 2.33. This is really one of those cases where it could go either way and votes will drive the decision. Unfortunately, the votes are mixed as well...

but if 2.33 sellers are very fast soo it means 2.66

They are not necessarily very fast. Several of my links are still unsold

if that the case downvote!!!!

sold 2 for 2.66 refined http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8738385 upvote

there are still many unsold ones

You show a few sales at 2.66 and I won't deny that they happen. However, I don't think it's enough to pass this suggestion. http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/520166504bd7b81411000005 - classifieds has three unsold at 2.33, and polar bear's comment shows many others unsold at 2.33. It may be best to wait for more to sell at 2.66 before adding it to the range.