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Proof below. Overpay calculated
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14346458 - Sold for 21 keys/1 bud
Extra proof: http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/76561198053528107 - 21 keys from new owner
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13032058 - "Quicksold" for 1 bud
What I bought it for
http://imgur.com/KXZ6vU4,XugLDyh,UU46uP8#0 (3 images) - 19 keys + G. Foppish + Lime Chops + Muffler + S. Backup + S. Bazooka + S. Enforcer + 2x Expire Arma 3 Alpha Lite Gifts (useless & worthless) = 1 bud
What I sold for
http://imgur.com/wVH2u1J,ZjPX2Hj,nYVTCPV#0 - S. Machina w/ Headshots Part + Key + Bills + Craft hat = 1.3 buds
I sold the S. Machina for 1 bud, I returned a key, which puts it at 20 keys:
http://imgur.com/wm4CTsV
Sellers
1 seller at 1 bud
1 seller at 28 keys = 1.3 buds
Conclusion
Sales and sellers show this needs a drop :3
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3