Proof below. Overpay calculated

Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13804866 - Blizz Pith = 20 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13461144 = 20 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14127723 - Bubbling Guada, other guy added around 1 key = 17 keys

Side note: It doesnt look like the Shred Alert was involved ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14353640 )

B/O's

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14204198 - 18 keys and a ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14250997 - 21 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14371884 - 1 bud/21 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14340909 - 19 keys

Conclusion

3 sales and some B/O's support a drop :3 High-end isnt lower since 2 sales occurred there

Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3