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Please read all before voting. I'MMMMM BACCCKKKKKK :D 5 Month Old Price. 4 On the Market.
Sales:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11859889 - Looking for 14 Keys, and probably sold for 14.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13858437 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13858861 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13874264
Seller couldn't sell it for 14, so he lowered it to 13, then 12 and it was finally purchased for 12 Keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12731492 - Sold for 13 Keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13370910 - Sold for 12 Keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14148272 - Sold for 12 Keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14099150 - Sold for a Strange Huntsman (6 Keys) + Strange Festive Ubersaw (4 Keys) + 3 Keys + 1.5 Keys in Items = ~13.5 Keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13693209 - Sold for 11 Keys? Probably a quicksale.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13365967 - Quick bought for 10 Keys. ._.
Legit Trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14292363
B/O of 14 Keys.
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14302524
B/O of 14 Keys.
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14409313
B/O of 12 Keys.
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13865788
B/O of 14 Keys.
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CONCLUSION:
15 Keys isn't happening. Low Range = 12 Keys because of multiple sales and a B/O. High Range = 14 Keys because of multiple B/Os and a possible sale.