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As far as I can tell, there's only one of these that is not painted or in a set.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14472182 - Asking for 2 keys, offered key + 2.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14522879 - Sold for 2 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13973352 - Was asking for 8.66, apparently accepted, but still in bp
9 ref doesn't seem to happen anywhere, but <8.66 doesn't either.
Don't tell me there's not enough proof, because there is no more.
This looks better :D upboated!
For a moment, I thought your first suggestion was someone else trolling :P
Considering the low amount of these guys on the market and the constantly weird ranges they have, it isn't really possible to not have enough proof. Well, it is, but you know what I mean.
First link, 2.66 is not .5 of a key nor did it realy sell for that( no proof), 3rd link, the All-Father is still in his bp. And hi there Pyroman, I'll be your main stalker forever and ever! <3
2.66 can be rounded up to .5 (0.46), if there's a willing seller for enough time to be considered unsold, it could be used as a lower range (which is the current high end anyway)