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Updating an old price. Still seems very accurate. Try to keep the nitpicking to a minimum, I consider this proof very solid, please provide counter-proof if you think otherwise.
Selling
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14264343 (B/O: 3.5 Buds)
Offers:
Smoking KE (~3.9) for Pickel + 20 - value: ~ 3 Buds
2 Buds + Black Bill's + 13 Keys ~ 3 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13901139 (B/O: 3.5 Buds)
Best Offer:
Searing Fukaamigasa (~1.9) + S. Kritz (~1.6) ~ 3.5 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12491989
Best Offer:
(Tentative) Stormy Stahlhelm (~1.7) + G.E. Gonzila (~1.8) ~ 3.5 Buds
Fukaa + Kritz ~3.5 Buds (same guy)
Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14335128
for: 2 Buds + Black Bill's + 13 Keys ~ 3 Buds (same guy who offered on the other trade)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14504313
apparently for: Stormy Storm Blighted Beak (3.1-3.8) - as it's tough to tell who offered I won't factor in unusual overpay ~ 3.5 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14101606
apparently bought it for: TF Logo Tyrolean (~2.4) + 1 Bud in mixed ~ 3.4 Buds