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Burning Flames Brigade Helm (13-14 buds) | 5 month old price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14439221 - 11 buds (duped | September 16, 2013)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11884613 - 13 buds (clean | June 19, 2013)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14569518 - 13.5 buds (clean | September 22, 2013)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11394092 - 14 buds (clean | June 2, 2013)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13022123 - 15 buds (clean | July 24, 2013)
Conclusion: Highly outdated price based on buyouts. May possibly deserve a lower price bump down if previous sales were researched, however given the information at hand, I believe it is more than viable to say 13-14 buds would be a more accurate range than 15-16.9 buds
Note: If one of the hats that I have posted as clean is not in fact clean, then please link me to the backpack that contains the dupe, so that I may confirm it.
The first 3 links are all quick sells
The term "quicksell" can only go so far when your trade has been up for 3 months (link #2).
Link #1 is not included in range, I am just pointing out that it is duped so no one comments "you missed this guy selling for 11 buds!"
Link #3 is obviously new, but only serves to aide my range with a third buyout in-between my suggested price.
Your link 2 wants 11
2nd link is selling for 11?
Well damn, he must have just updated it after possibly seeing this suggestion.
Regardless, .:NoS//BoY:. offered a Flies YWN (~10 buds), Beams Ketche (~2.4 buds), 1 bud, and 9 keys (0.4 buds) ≈ 13.8 buds less than a week ago.
He only wants pure that's why he did not take it, thus the reason he is quickselling
Nonos lowered his b/o from 13 to 11. Your range is probably too high still