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Traders on the high end just aren't having any luck selling, and starting to try to sell for less and less.
http://imgur.com/dT0Vugg - Classified Listing, 17, 18 keys(x2), 20, 1.5 buds
Failed Sellers
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14584609 - 18 keys(3 hours old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14529884 - 17 keys(2 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14291999 - diary + capacitor for buds(1 week)..buds are crashing so this new value would equal 19 - 19.5 AVG
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13446659 - selling for a bud..no buyers(month old trade)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14571115 - 17 keys(17 hours old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14381081 - 17 keys...bought from me week ago for 19, has a 15 key offer.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14394220 - 1 bud/20 keys(1 week old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14463352 - 17 keys, was selling for 18 very recently
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13598075 - 20 keys..was selling for 21 about 2 days ago
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14513401 - 19 keys(2 days old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14537169 - 20 keys(1 day old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14232201 - 1 bud(2 weeks old)
Sellers/Quickbuyers
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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14555137 - Quickbuying for 16, got 2 interested buyers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14199961 - Sold for (Unusual Prince Tavish's Crown - 5 keys) 1.7 - 1.9 buds minus 5 keys
^ This trade stopped me from posting this suggestion earlier but the buyer
sold the diary to me for 12 keys. He just really hated that hat!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14584410 - I sold the diary for 15 keys
http://imgur.com/jroSyY4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14455099 - Sold for 15 keys, had 13 - 14 key offers in items
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14534617 - Sold for 2 Crate #50s
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Unless if demand goes down more, 15 - 16 keys seems to be a good quicksell price.
I haven't found proof of 18 key sellers, but I'd say they have a decent chance.
For now all, I'm trying to prove is that 19 - 20 keys sellers are impossible other then major luck!
Just casually bringing this diary from 22 keys to 18 keys...
Proof is great, seems that this is not in demand at all.