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Smoking Metal Slug (1-1.2 buds)
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Trade #1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14445001
Appears to have 1:1'd with a Smoking Crown (~1.2 buds with overpay), see AA Wizard's offer for verification.
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Trade #2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14424357
Sold for a Bubbling Conjurer's Cowl (~1 bud with overpay). Unknown if sweets were added on either end and who offered on who's trade.
Conjurer History Check: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14422544
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Trade #3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14402497
Buyout of 24 keys
Seems to have settled for a bud, but maybe there was possible sweets, though not much based on "quicksell" price already.
The bud history matches:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14422545 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14481965
Side Note: Quick shouts out to the number of time this guy listed on outpost over the course of 2 days:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14399093
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14373743
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14373085
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14372626
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14365554
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14356502
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Conclusion: Two sales at roughly a bud and a sale for about a 1.2 bud unusual. Drastically need a price reduction off the top end.