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I'm sorry Baloo! :'(
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14330575 - 1 1/2 weeks old
B/O: 8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13829301 - 1 month old
B/O: 9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14328013 - 1 1/2 weeks old
B/O: 160 keys (7.5ish buds) (Guy says he's "quickselling")
Pardon me Hatch, but where does 8.5 come from?
Didn't want to do a price of 8 solid, and 9 seems to be a bit too high to include in the range considering the 8 bud and 7.5 bud B/O's.
Also, I saw some unusual offers that could be considered around 8.5 buds.
link 2 and 3 are dupes of each other I think
link 3 probably bought it for scorching snaggle + ~70 keys = 8, though again it is duped
Looks like you're right
http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/76561198025196260 <---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/76561198025497223
Guess they dont count
It seems you're correct. However,
I've found that whether or not an unusual is duped doesn't really matter.
Regardless, the one unsold for 8 buds isn't duped, and that alone should be enough to prove this suggestion correct anyway, even if one of the mods decides that the duped unusuals are not as valid as proof.
Dupes don't mean as much now as they did, but they still affect the value of higher tier unusuals like this.
I heavily agree that dupes dont matter but when it gets over 5 buds im sure they do affect value and sell-ability
Two of your links are for the duped crown which has historically sold for less than a clean crown.
To add support for my stance:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13516816 - Duped Crown sold for 6 buds
Buyer of that Crown turned around and sold it to smox here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13673995 most likely for 6 buds based on the number of buds showing here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13517655
I asked Rose, himself, if he actually bought and sold for 6 buds, but he doesn't remember. Basically this suggestion is based off a single, legitimate trade of someone who is trying to quicksell his unusual for only pure and the trade has been up for less than 2 weeks.
backpack.tf aims to record the price of clean items on the market unless it can proven that there are none for sale, nor will be of the clean variant. Basing the price on duped on unusuals is not allowed nor available at this time. Therefore I downvote.
Also verification from two moderators to support my claim of only using clean variants of an unusual for price suggestions on backpack.tf: http://i.imgur.com/EeU4lcO.png and http://i.imgur.com/w9fnd8b.png
However, I believe it's a fact that the current range is no longer valid. Since there is a clean tavish crown that is selling for 8 buds for over 2 months (which is about 15% off of current price).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14330575
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12955186
Unsold at 8 buds, which means current price is way too high. However, there are no real sales to establish an actual range...
Better than current. This is actually the same price that was suggested by Baloo 2 months ago.