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Proof Below.
SALE #1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14173958
-Aces High Conquistador (2.7-2.9 Buds)
-Blizzardy Storm Towering Titanium Pillar of Hats (N/A)
-Cauldron Bubbles Tippler's Tricorne (2.4-3 Buds)
-1 Bud
-27 Keys
-Wrapped Summer Shades (4-5 Keys)
Sold for a Secret to Everybody Prince Tavish's Crown (9.1-10.1 Buds)
Total: 1.5 Buds (With Overpay)
SALE #2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1943066400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1944351209
Sold for a Steaming Tough Stuff Muffs (2.7-3.4 Buds)
SALE #3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14406868
- 1 Bud
- Misty Skull Medic's Mountain Cap (2.9-3.9 Buds)
Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Titanium Towering Pillar of Hats
SALE #4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14406059
- Disco Beat Down Tough Guy's Toque (N/A)
Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Titanium Towering Pillar of Hats
B/O: 4.9 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14486579
B/O: 5 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14581407
It would be better as a solid 4. there is quite the price difference gap, you know?
The Nuts & Bolts one is already 2.3-3.5, This should be higher than it stands.
Im having trouble understanding your range...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14648734 - B/O 2.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14357408 - B/O 3.5 - sold for steaming bonk ~3?
I'm leaning towards the 4 being an outlier since I'm not seeing any offers higher than the bonk sale. Mountain cap price is also 5 months old, though its probably still somewhat accurate.