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Proof below. Overpay calculated
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14017149 - 19 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13716568 - 17 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12695014 - Blizz Hot Dogger = 23 keys
Side note: Took mid price since it was offered on
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13238000 - Stormy Brain Bucket = 18 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13987001 - 25 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11897461 - Planets Spartan = 20 keys
B/O's
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14543813 - 25 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14432392 - 21 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14599017 - 22.5 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14575013 - 17 keys?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14395044 - 20.5 keys
Conclusion
Sales indicate a need for a drop, but B/O's also indicate a larger need for a drop. Clearly overpriced >.>
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3
You have 3 sales under current, 19 isn't that far off current obviously but that can count anyway, and 3 sales at current.
First b/o is only 4 days old, had an offer before retracted.
Second is a week with other unusuals.
Third is 2 days old with an offer within current price range.
Fourth is 3 days old, current offer is unusual that's 17-18 keys.
Last is 1 week old.
It seems possible to sell it between 21-23.
I think a better range might be 18/19-22/23 tbh.
But I agree 20-28 isn't marketable anymore based on these trades anyway.