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lets price this now :D
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11423378 sold for killa watt bicorne(6.5) was 8 at the time, more recent price change puts it at 6.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12365143 sold for disco cowl(7.5 at time) + steaming honcho(1.4) + nuts lucky(.7) shot based off item histories = 9.6 <- outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13824780 sold for stormy tc(6) + smoking tam(.8) + flies billy(.8) = 7.6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14251315 had price 8.5 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14192426 sold for aces stahl + misty nappers? unsure about this,seem like they broker a lothttp://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14541160 b/o 7 buds
6.5 bud lowend
7 bud highend with the b/o
other thoughts of a range could be 7-7.6, though b/o's should only be the highend at most I think
That TC sale is ~7 going by original suggestions. So you have a sale for your high end as well