Proof below. Overpay calculated

Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14272933

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14198944

Time warp Gatsby + 2 keys = 3.6 buds (outlier-ish)

Side note: Used original price of 3.5 buds and took mid price since it was offered on

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14322332

Lantern Hoodie = 5 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13782220

http://backpack.tf/id/76561198041670971?time=1378537200 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198041670971?time=1378969200

Stormy Cold Killer, other guy added 2 keys = 4.3 buds

Side note: Took mid price of Cold Killer since it was offered on

Conclusion

In my opinion, I believe the first sale is a bit of an outlier. Its further away from the other two sales and, unusuals tend to go up in value as it goes from owner to owner, as the previous owner tries to sell it for more than they bought it for. It may begin lower than its worth, and then each owner sells it for enough so they get profit, and it may take time for the unusual to reach its full value. Thanks to Polar Bear for saying that a long time ago somewhere :3 If an admin wishes for a change, I dont mind resuggesting. For now, vote accordingly.

Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3