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Sulphurous Bombing Run (2-3 buds)
Original Price: 2.4-3.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13974741 - mem leak bicorne = ~2.6 buds (original price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14093734 - sold for a ghosts nano = ~1.9 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13533505 - sold for pe bombing run ( 1.8 buds original low end http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13729974 ) + bills ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13730097 ) = ~2.1 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13136106 - sold for 2 buds + 3 bills --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13371358 = ~3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14219969 - sold for an aces high bonk helm = ~2.2 buds (original price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13325761 - mem leak ballcap = ~2buds (original price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12798828 - 2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13713648 - b/o 2.8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14375217 - b/o 2.25 buds - sold probably for a searing fro (or he added something)= ~2.2 buds (original price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12631624 - 2 buds
current trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14667667 - 3 bud b/o
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14641329 - ~3 bud b/o
conclusion: all between 2 and 3 buds.
Just got mine + 5 keys in sweets for a Miami Geisha Boy (3.5)
Original price on the geisha was 2.7-3.3 buds, so that sale is ~2.8 buds (did you offer him or did he offer you?).
He added me.
Alright so you took the original average value (3 buds) - 4 keys (item overpay, 0.2 buds) = 2.8 buds. Perfectly fits in the range, thx for the extra proof.