resuggesting with hopefully a more accurate range (thanks shen!)

1) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14734410

sold for what appears to be a scorching tricorne 4.4-5.3, old price + strange birdman (~2 keys)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1934969424,179,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1972719156,776,11

tricorne price is out of date, but looks to be about 4 buds:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14375011 - duped scorching tricorne selling for 4 buds, was offered this hat but did not take the deal

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14414104 - actually selling for 4 buds, unsold for 3 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13597926 B/O of 4 buds, probably sold for about that much

so the tricorne + birdman comes to about 3.7 buds w/overpay on the tricorne

2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13761223 - sold for 4 buds pure

3) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14295761 - miami nights fez (no price set)

4) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14337312 - sold for aces tartan (no price set)

5) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14278703 - BO 3 buds, probably sold for that much (outlier)

2 on the market :

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14754550 B/O of 6 buds, no offers in 5 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14310426 B/O of 6 pure, offers of other not yet priced unusuals

thanks again to shenanigans for extra / better proof