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THE ORIGINAL PRICE 2.49 dollars = 8 ref
or 2.49/6=0.41
0.41 unless the price difference of steam market
the price seems fair
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13722136
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11292408
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9982051
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12373091
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7505351
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10319745
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14228567
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13909881
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8753784
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12914454
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8910082
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12617895
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/3083094
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11075214
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13761605
selling=/=sold
some of your links are ancient and are irrelevant (selling at 0.4$) and the ones in your suggested range don't even have any recent buyers
this is an obvious downvote
You show links of the normal trading economy, not the steam market. Keys were sold for ~1.75-1.8$ in the paypal market so according to your logic 1.8/6 = 0.3. And that's the current price.
Also most of your links are very old and don't have recent adds for ref.
0.31 - http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/149775-TF2-Keys-at-1-85-Refs-at-0-31-No-Rep-Req
0.3 - http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/151230-Refined-0-30-0-22%80-each-%28Stock-110%29-!
0.29 - http://forums.sourceop.com/threads/148231-1000-Refined-Metal-%28-0-29-ea%29
And so on.
it will nvr be possible for refs to rise cos people are getting more and more every week :)
Metal will rise the moment Valve gives metal a better use other than crafting hats and weapons.
Or at least, that's one way metal can rise.