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Ah, yes, the fun of pricing an unpriced Unusual. This one is a mouthful to say. Credit to [EFR] TheKaushuMan™ for the new range!
Only 7 Exist
None on Bazaar
One on trade.tf
http://www.trade.tf/trade/511369172 - Asking 2.5 buds
Only three on Outpost, one is in a set
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13469230 - Got offered multiple offers less than 2 buds, declined all.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14852983 - Declined offer of Purple Energy Mongolian (~1.6 buds)
Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12558604 - 2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10937083 - 3 buds - However, 3 months old.
Conclusion
While there are a limited number of trades for this, I believe that it's safe to say that 2 to 2.5 buds is an adequate range for this Unusual. While there is a 3-bud sale, it is three months old when this was rarer and probably more valuable.
Any links that can support/debunk my suggestion are welcome! :)
your 2 buds-guy sold it for ~1.5 buds (first comment), this guy sold it for bud+ bubbling cannonball (~2.7) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12696617 ,(had a B/O of 2)
How do people find closed trades. I never figured that out.
item information/ klick on name of the former owners/then search the trade
That works with closed trades?
sure, try it. You can see his last 400 trades
Well, is there a way I can search through said 400 trades, or do I have to manually scroll through?
3 bud sale is too old to count
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14322249 - sold for steaming conqui (1 bud) + steaming berliner's (.8 buds) + 5 keys
This range is good.