Bud/Unusual inflation is too high for me.

Phosphorous Berliner's Bucket Helm (3-3.5 buds) | 4 month old price

Sales from oldest to newest:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11874336 (Buyout of 3 buds and 12 keys) (~3.5 buds) and sold for Planets Bubble Pipe (~3.5 buds) (taken from last suggestion)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11878489 (too legit offer of 5 buds. Like so legit. I can't even.)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11862470 ended up being used as overpay for a Flaming Lantern Merryweather (~3.2 buds)

http://backpack.tf/stats/182/5/37 Merryweather last updated 3 months ago to 3.2-4.2 buds

Also a current buyout of 3.5 buds for Merryweather: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14772153

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11949420 seems to have been involved in a sale for a Stormy Storm Bonk Boy (~3 buds)

Stormy Storm Bonk Boy history: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12498407

Bonk Boy last updated 1 week ago to 3-3.5 buds

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12515455 seems to have been involved in a trade for a Sunbeams Pyro's Beanie (~3 buds)

Subeams Beanie: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11009182

Beanie last priced 4 weeks ago at 3-3.2 buds

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12573276 looking for "nothing less than 3.3 buds" which most likely means he's looking to sell for around that price.

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Conclusion: All sales seem to be around 3-3.5 buds and since original price was 3.5 buds, this is a more accurate price for the unusual. I realize most of the sales are old, but the price is too damn high.