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Proofs:
Sales
Sold last week for clean bill's + 9 keys (15 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14842131
Offers & B/Os
Open trade. B/o 14 keys,
Meteor offered 15 keys a week ago.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10540412
Open trade. B/O 2 bills (white/black) (14 Keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13706436
Open trade. B/O 18 keys
C/O 14 Keys
Declined Offers: Planets big chief (14-18 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14893267
The ugly
B/O 21 keys
Last offer was the bill's + 8 keys seen above and other offers are months old.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/9486369
Conclusion
Low is 14 because of B/Os at 14 keys and considered offers at 14 keys.
High 15 because of sales and unusual offers.
Nothing below 14 keys seems to be considered and no one is generally willing to offer above 15 keys.