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Suggesting new price. Here are my proofs.
1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14100441 (MrDirtyFingers-> Zenzile)(2nd to last sale for this particular one)(last sale price unavailable)
Sold for anti freeze tyrant(16-18.9) + timewarp lucha (sold for a sulph beak here, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11881537) (10-10.7)
17.4+10.3 = 27.7
2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12539125 (AE -> Limmo(current owner))(Last sale for this particular one)
Traded for Misty Skull Killer's Kabuto(15.1-17.4) + Antifreeze Platinum Pickelhaube(3.5-3.6)
16.2 + 3.5 =19.7
3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14615558 (Overloaded (current owner)->Killer Engy)(Last sale for this particular one)
Traded for a Miami Dome. Miami Domes not priced but the dome was subsequently sold(http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14910217) for Crones with Blizzard(8.2-9.3), C9 Muff(no price on muff, let's give it a low 7 as they're being sold for 10+), C9 Stove Pipe(3.2-4.3), Dead Prez One Man army(5.6-6), Blizz Nappers(2.3-2.6), Aces Trilby(can't find a b/o on the trilby, can speculate at a very low lowball of 2).
8.7+7+3.7+5.8+2.4+2 =29.6
4. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14837766
2:1 Burning Hazmat (sold when it was still 25 with overpay)
Total Sale: ~21
I'd also like to offer this as proof this hat is not priced correctly right now. Look at almost any other harvest moon hat, it's 95% of the time above scorching and usually between cloudy and secret. Right now, it's priced lower than flaming lantern, green fetti, ghosts and scorching. I can't find a single other harvest hat with that type of pricing.
Considering the very recent sales prices listed and where this particular harvest moon unusual lies within the other brainiac unusuals, I think a range of 21-27 is fair. My range removes the lower and upper sales and reflects more on the average. It also would place it above scorching and between cloudy moon and secret, like most other harvest unusuals.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/4350-another-new-rule-regarding-unusual-suggestions-use-original-suggested-values/
eg the anti freeze tyrant is actually worth 11.9-14
Not according to bp, http://backpack.tf/unusuals/99/Tyrant%27s_Helm
currency changes really fuck over bp.tf's price. overinflated.
http://puu.sh/4QPq6.png
For your third link you can't make up values for unusuals especially since you're practically basing your high end from it. Either wait for it to be priced or price it yourself.
The other sales you need to properly account for over pay as well, also you're using highly inflated values for your range :l
I talked with you about this. I said 20-21.5 might be okay. But not 21-27
Link 1: AF Tyrants is not even close to 16-18. Look at this: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12469566 - b/o at 12 for 3 months. Original suggested price was 12-14. And sulph beak is 7.5 after overpay. So that sale is really ~19-20 which is already less than your range
Link 2: Misty Buto price is 8 months old. This guy has a b/o of 14 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14729598 - so that sale is maybe ~15-16
Link 3: You will have to price the miami dome if you are going to use it as proof. Not valid
Link 4: Burning hazmat was outdated at that time and there were already b/o's at 25 at the time of that sale. That is NOT 25 after overpay. The current price is more accurate. That sale is 16
More links:
This is a true quicksell --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13701939 sold for 12 pure (real qs)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12678525 sold for a roboactive robo modest priced at 12.6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/13738112
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198004358668?time=1380092400
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198004358668?time=1380178800
Sold Burning Fedora + Robo Sandvich + 3 Pure
7 + 4 + 3
Total Sale: 14
Taking all the evidence we have, sale values are at:
12, 12.6, 14, 15, 16, and 19
Your range is definitely too high
You can't price hats on your own
You have a sale at 19.7 WITHOUT overpay
Price was accepted 3 days ago
I can't see any reason why this should be the range