Price Suggestion
~26.5 keys
g.fetti
Unusual Killer Exclusive Green Confetti
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17 votes down
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Pretty much a range fix. When buds start to rise again, the price will probably change but here's my proof.


Recent sales are sparse. Even worse, there are only two on the market and one's duped.


Let's start with some history, and boy does this hat have some.


Clean KE


(Some old history not really pertinent to the suggestion)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/6816479

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7038161


Oh the days. Yeah 6/7 buds for this hat was not uncommon, but it rose in price by a lot! So much that the next trackable owner, was able to sell his for 10:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/11467993


Confirmed to have paid 10 by Tomoko in his trade here:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14790756


Incidentally where it was offered on by the current owner, Nemo.


Nemo traded a Green Black Hole Flamenco (8-8.5 Buds w/ Overpay), a Searing Bonk Boy (4.5 again, overpay) and a craft #99 Flapjack (which he bought for 15 Keys.)


Keeping that in mind, the offer is around 13.5 Buds or so, leaning more towards 13.


Nemo has put his buyout at 13 Buds in his trade here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15065061


Screenshot of the above in case it changes: http://gyazo.com/e390ec25deefc211b5ad935d29d4ad31


So where does that leave us?


Sold for 6-7, Sold for 10, Sold for 13.5 Buds worth of unusuals, current B/O of 13.


There's my high-end.


Duped KE


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14635201


His buyout is set at 12.5 and he will not take less than 10.


The offers seem consistent with clean KE's offers, so I'm not entirely sure this is a hat whose price is affected by the "dirtiness" of dupes.


He was offered 10 in unusuals by Tomoko,


Offered a sunbeams pot (~7 Buds) + Orbit fire slopers (~2 buds) + 2 Pure. 11 buds, hence my low end.


Most of the other offers fall way under the mark or sit at about 10.


It's tough for a hat like this. It's rare, rarely traded, and one of the two on the market is duped, making it's history hard to track.


Strictly speaking about pure offers


DOYLEE has been trying to sell his for ~11-12 pure for quite a while with no takers (perhaps because of the dupe), but in the past the hat has sold for 8-10. Unusual offers have been within this range however.


I was thinking of making the range 10-13, but I opted with 11. If you feel as though it's a better range, I'd be glad to resubmit.


Some supplemental info about the history (aka, not really pertinent to current price)


My best find on what DOYLEE got it for is 8-10 Buds.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1618029187


Smashyourface never put his on outpost and I believe the dupe began with Houston. (When I sold it, it was 1/1 on market 100% clean)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10526988 and in here, Leves says he sold his for 8.


The history on Houston's Planets KE has smash on the history.


    I quick sold mine for 9 pure, bought it for a Burning Tyrant ----> g.fetti ke + p.e. drill (sold for 4.5 pure) + 4 pure.

      Seems about right, I think in that trade I'd value the KE around 11, and then you QSd it for 9. I think it supports the low end, personally, but I could be a bit off on my values.

    13 is stupid.

      Thanks for the very helpful critique. Any reasoning behind it?