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1) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12444765 sold for a smoking festiviser ( 0,8-0.9) + 15 keys
= 1.7 buds
2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14957022 sold for a bliz storm baker boy (1.3-1.4) + sweets
http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/76561198070848827
= 1.4 buds
3) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12364858 sold for a vintage fan o war (2.2-2.5 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12390519
= 2.1 buds (outlier, also 3 months old trade)
4) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14767245 sold for a stormy storm lid (1.2-1.4)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14816810
= 1.2 buds
5) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14819625 sold for a dead presidents chieften (1.9 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14875284
= 1.7 buds
Why is 2.1 an outlier?
3 months old, and the fan o war priced at the time would have made it closer to 3 buds worth, which is much higher than everything else
1.2 is lower than everything else, shouldn't that be an outlier aswell?
its a much newer trade (2 weeks ago)
also the difference between 1.2 and 1.4 is much smaller than 2.1 and 3
The barnstormer was offered, so no overpay should be calculated - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14611204
Also that guy had his hat for a grand total of 1 hour? I'd say there is a better chance that he undersold it than the sale at 2.1 is an outlier.
Maybe removed the high and low sale and make it 1.4-1.7?