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Here goes.
First trade:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14990854
Sold for level 1 pink max+2 keys(~2.1 if max is ~2)
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198042344661?time=1381561200 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198042344661?time=1381734000
Lots of weird things happened here, but easier to see here:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198066764518?time=1381647600 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198066764518?time=1381734000
Second Trade:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15068692
Sold for Smoking Pyromancer(~1.1)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066764518?time=1381734000 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198066764518?time=1381906800
Third Trade:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15069157
Sold for bud+whitebills+key(~1.5)
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198004843899?time=1381906800 -> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198004843899?time=1381993200
Current trade:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15083663
Feel free to provide feedback on this suggestion. I used the price that you have to mouse over the graph for on the pyromancer, so everything should be correct.
Latest sale was a quicksale.
Doesn't matter, within the range.
1.1 would be a suggested "outlier" only 3 sales anyways
Only need 2 to price an unusual. All of them fall nicely in the range, and there isn't any offer to say that this should be any higher or lower.
The pyromancers is also 1.6 according to backpack, so 85% is 1.4, not 1.1
Not according to site rules http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/4350-another-new-rule-regarding-unusual-suggestions-use-original-suggested-values/
Value on the mancer's hasn't changed in a day
That suggestion was over a month old
Not outdated though. The suggestion would have to be 3 months+, and the highest offer for a smoking pyromancer practically within that old range.
Also, when the offer was taken the price of the mancer was 1.6
1.1 definitely looks low. Guy is an inexperienced trader who bought it for 2 and sold for 1.1 instantly? He had the trade up for less than 1 minute - surely not enough time to get full value out any hat, much less a robo one.
The second guy actually put up and closed his trades twice before that one, and the sale was over the course of a day. Shall I close and resuggest at 1.5-2.1, marking the 1.1 as an outlier?
Ah, you are right. But still sold it very quickly, probably for the first offer he received. Still looks inexperienced and like an outlier.
1.5-2.1 seems more reasonable to me.
Alright, going to resuggest at 1.5-2.1.