Price Suggestion
~106 keys
bh
Unusual Human Cannonball Green Black Hole
81 votes up
15 votes down
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Comments

eww

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15098260 bought for aces brotherhood

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15004469 sold for af tyrants(13) cannonball offered so no overpay

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14893505 best offer is roboactive modest(16.8)


boa is unpriced, but offers get up to ~17-18 on it http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14357725

13-17 should be fair

    But you can't make up the prices of unpriced unusuals :(

      i have proof backing it up :D

        but it needs sales ;-;

          its possible to estimate the prices of unpriced unusuals based on the b/os and offers received on it.

            i would have priced it if the only sale other than this one on it within like 2 months wasn't instantly sold at 8 buds.


            grimdercell is right though

      the mist cannon + gifted burning ten gallon offer here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14893505 is well over 20 and the backpack offer here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15074994 is well over 20

        also isn't the tyrants and modest you are referencing 18.2 and 25.7 respectively?

          you have to use original values for suggestions, since the current values are inflated due to the drop of buds

          http://backpack.tf/stats/99/5/69 original price of tyrants in graph is 11.9-14, 13 median, using 13 since cannonball was offered

          http://backpack.tf/stats/139/5/72 modest was 18.5-18.8, and since modest was offered, you have to account for unusual overpay which is median * .9, which is 16.8.


          that cannonball offer seems like a strong outlier to me, its about 23 after overpay, but he was willing to do the same offer for an aces KE(in his trade http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15068242 ) which is 17.8 after overpay


          that backpack, well its really hard to value backpack offers, i dont know how to value that

            Aren't the prices of unusuals tied to real world money though? The drop in the price of buds lowers the price of buds not unusuals so the adjustment bump in unusual prices is justified isn't it? If basing it on the original suggested prices of offered unusuals before the change of buds then you are pricing it in buds where buds were worth more than they are now which would result in actually pricing it below its true current price.

                Hmm I see... that would mean that unusual prices are completely tied to an arbitrary number of buds, where it doesn't matter what buds are worth at all. Doesn't make sense at all since unusuals are supposed to be based on money. Another note if you take the misty cannonball + gifted burning ten gallon example, he got this offer but then we are pricing the gbh one below the misty one where it obviously isn't. Doing it that way is going to screw with the relative prices of unusuals which is probably the most important thing in pricing them. Not trying to argue with you, just saying.

                  In reality, only unusuals like burning TC and NOH are based off of $money.

        modest was retracted.


        -http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/292895 aces brotherhood sold for scorching tossle???


        Needs more info.