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Resuggesting.
Seems to get some offers at around 15 keys but should not really be higher than 17.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15116178
Sold it for steaming pug (11 keys) plus 6.5 keys (17.5 keys together)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14443734
Best offer in one month is Nuts Dragon + merc pride (15 keys with overpay), BO is at 21 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14893095
Had this trade up for a week at 17 keys pure, no buyers, then put up http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15083262 which lists it at 16 keys, still no buyers in 2 days, has max bumps
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15028078
BO at 18 keys, 5 days old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15007784
BO at 17 keys, 5 days old and frequently bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14585693
Offered about 16 keys in items/mix, rejected, relatively old offer, no other offers
And there's about 8 others on the market with no offers in a long, long time.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14240571 - 15 keys. sold fast... but there is that unsold at 16 keys for a while now - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15007784
so... seems reasonable
Seems like good proof, upvote :D