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All thanks for proof goes to NiceAss
Ressugesting using original values and applying 10% unusual overpay
Buds valued at 17 keys
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15126209
-Was asking 3 buds or slight overpay in unusuals
-Sold for dread knot orbiting planets and dragonborn stormy storm =2.35-2.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15137086
-Asking 3.5 buds
-Many closed trades within the last week asking for quicksell of 3 buds.
-Sold for Blizzardy Storm Voodoo JuuJuu Slight Return- ~2.1-2.7 Buds
4/5 existing hats are currently on sale
1) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14749777
-Asking 3.5 buds
-Two weeks old with a hearts geezer as an offer (1.35-1.8 buds)
2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15140926
-Asking 3.3 buds
3) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15140583
-Asking 4 buds
-Has another closed trade a week old with the same hearts geezer as an offer (1.35-1.8 buds)
4) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15051729
- Asking 3.9-4.1
-4 days open- no posts
And 2.9 comes from?...
-Sold for dread knot orbiting planets and dragonborn stormy storm =2.35-2.9 buds
You can only use the low end or .9. as unusual overpay. That's it.
So you're suggesting 2.1-2.35?
Unusual overpay is already calculated
My point is that you can't use unusual high end as your high end. Or did you already calculated overpay? If so, my bad.
Yeah, I did the usual 10% on the original values. No problem :)
stormy dragonborn + dread knot would + some pure - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198044269777?time=1382166000 - so 2.9 for that sale is reasonable
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14764513 - added 7 keys for blizz scopers - http://backpack.tf/id/76561198078518547?time=1380870000 - ~2.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15130603 - added 17 keys for a c9 slouch ~3.7 after overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15122110 - unclear. maybe PE panama? - 2.3?
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14700875 - 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14073658 - added a stormy beanie for a stormy ex - ~2.9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14974170 - unclear; offered 2 pure pretty easily
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14979818 - willing to take 2.3
Eh... the blizz juju is a 7 month old price and isn't great to use, but total sales are at 2, 2.1, 2.3, 2.3, 2.5, 2.9, 2.9, so I guess the range is okay. Really might be 2.3-2.9 since 2 flat gets offered easily, but there are 2 sales at 2-2.1