Current price = 1.6-1.9, 5 month old

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12301786 b/o of a max (2.2), though he himself said 2.1 (deep in the comments) open for 3 months, declined plantets tyrants (1.8)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14209172 offer of stormy cowl (2) and some offers around 1.5 which he declined

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14308550 no b/o, offer of 33 keys (1.9 ish)

blizz dragonborn (2.3, but only lowered on buyouts, not offers so not counting it in)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14657232 b/o of 2, sold for unknown amount

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15122868 b/o of 2.8, is going to sell this + searing gonzilla(1.4, but outdated for bubbling tc 3.4) pricing this around 2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14707740 sold for $66 (2.1 ish buds)

so, with a buyout at 2.2, some sales at 2 and offers around 1.8-1.9 I'm conservatively bringing this down to 2-2.2 which actually is a bump up because $ conversion