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1) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15085942 - sold for 14 keys.
2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15029924 - Sold for 13 keys.
3) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14570558 - Offer of NnB Sultans (13 keys with lowend) + 1 key = 14 keys.
Bubbling Bombing Run - 14 with lowend.
4) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14928033 - Sold for Bubbling Scotch Bonnet (checking backpack history for this) (13 keys low end).
NOTE: If you wish to find the overpay value the other way, just take 1 key off the prices I listed. I took the low end but median * 0.9 is 1 key lower than what I posted.
Nice proof, upvote c: