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Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used
Sales
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198071259140?time=1382166000 ---> http://backpack.tf/id/76561198071259140?time=1382252400
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15161292 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15172208
Electrostatic Coupe (1.9) + Sweets for the Bicorne, looks like the guy with the Bicorne also added some stuff? = 1.8 buds (estimation)
Side note: The inventory history is confusing and jumbled, so Im slightly estimating this sale. Should be close to the real value though
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198071259140?time=1382079600 --->
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198071259140?time=1382166000
Dead Presidents Glove (1.7-1.9). The extra keys came in since he looks like converted metal into keys ( http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14328225 )
Im going to take it as a 1:1 trade
1.6 buds
Conclusion
Seems fairly legit, although the sales are pretty vague. Any help is appreciated. Vote accordingly.
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3
I'm just concerned that both of these are part of a chain of quicksells and didn't have the hats long enough on the market to attain full value.
First guy bought it as a quicksell in minutes at 1 pure and dumped it pretty quickly for profit. And it changed hands pretty rapidly.
But even the other hat has had past b/o's of 1.8 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14488011
So your range is probably pretty close.