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Proof below. Overpay calculates. Original prices used
Sales
http://imgur.com/ftr3AdU,HZd6y3n,X0XNdHO - 31.11 ref + 7 keys + 1.54 buds in items = 2.3 buds
http://imgur.com/YZu1wSz,pmNPc7Q,Y7EJ2qs - Stormy Merryweather + #88 Muchacho + 5 keys = 1.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14692717 - Ghosts Big Country = 2.4 buds
Side note: No original prices that I can use
B/O's
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14902880 - 1.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14981635 - 2.4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14705595 - Max's Head = 2.3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/12415700 - 2.2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14174255 - 2 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14333827 - 2 buds
Conclusion
3 sales, but several B/O's supporting a drop. Vote accordingly.
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3
your last link has b/o 2.3 anyway the first sale is like 7 keys+ 5 keys in metal+ gen doublecross (5 w paint)+ s original(4)+ all father(2)+f wrench(1)+ TC (1)+ alert(1)+ ton of shit so that equals like 26 keys ~ 1.5 buds~ 1.3 with overpay so wouldnt call it 2.3
btw that ghosts big country was sold for vivid shako http://backpack.tf/vote/id/523e955f4dd7b8fb5f8b4568 ~ 2 buds original price so that sale is in your range. up